Neck Gold
Monday, July 19th, 2010
Oil and gold may be better prospects for commodities in 2009
Oil and gold may be better prospects for 2009 property
Editorial: In mineweb Click:? 53 Date: 01/04/2009 11:42:57
It is very dangerous to try to predict the positive investment areas in the financial climate today, but some more than others seem to have potential.
Like most commentators know, after a disastrous 2008 for the products, and more for many stocks of raw materials, forecasting is a hazardous activity. Although many are very aware in early 2008 the vulnerability of the economy world, just stuck his neck custody of the scale or speed of the subsequent fall in almost all populations, whose products have been one of the most affected.
Now it seems that there is a perception among many commentators that many of these investors who have ventured into the materials and stocks of raw products or around their summits, and got their fingers badly burned, it is likely that this sector has a wide margin of this year funds could have ventured into the area in the past. This may limit the potential for large gains were made, even if the economy improves in the sector over the coming months.
This can be a sign opinion so short. If specific products or actions are considered as having great potential, so investors to invest and increase prices. Perhaps there is less money to speculate that if the kind of huge increases seen in the area before the fall of products materails probably not again in the near future.
For those who are willing to step up to the area there will be some areas that offer the prospect of a head better than others, and with a very limited downside, which should please the more cautious investors.
So where are looking for this type of potential. In fact, things fell so far in the second half of last year, and so quickly, we have to consider that the decrease in almost all products is somewhat limited for the short or medium term, but some stand out by offering prospects may be better that the majority.
At the forefront is probably oil, where the huge price drop $ 147 a barrel for some time, $ 32 a barrel, almost certainly be exaggerated. With major oil producers have the ability to manipulate prices through production controls and stated aim to do, which is already having an effect. The impact of reductions – or increase production – it takes time to get to the bottom and affect markets and prices and we are only beginning to see glimpses of a resumption of oil prices today. It is not unreasonable to look for a doubling of oil prices in the coming months.
In fact, a doubling of prices puts us in line with Barclays Capital, which offers 76 million barrels of oil U.S. crude oil averaged in 2009. Barclays could be a more bullish on oil, but between teams from analysis of the major banks.
href = "http://www.cnmining.org/news/?id=986"> Gold Another beneficiary is likely to continue financial and political crisis, but not necessarily wait a strong increase. Gold was in fact one of the few sectors showing a profit in 2008, but gold stocks may still be possible to do here. In general, we can find gold $ 1,000 an ounce in one level of a year – and may stay there as well, which could again recovery is much more efficient than any market in general, if there is one.
Money likely to increase in the back of gold, but the fundamentals are not so strong, depending on who makes the figures. The relative volatility of gold means that it could be the prospect of a better performance than gold in terms of percentage, but it is not really something to tell.
What about the rest? Some external commentators concerned with the raw materials sector, Peter Grandich, publisher online opinion ( www.grandich.com ) is one of the most informed commentators with good track record in the last year (outside of mining companies in which it does not expect decimated in the way they were). He also believes that oil and gold are the most promising products Current environmental and some others, makes the following observations, most of us agree:
Platinum seems to have been at its lowest low while the increase may be limited in 2009, seems to decrease.
Base metals – I've been bearish on them for about two years. In early 2009, not to change anything at this point of view than the additional cuts that could lead to the point where they accumulate in 2010 and beyond could be decent.
I do not think uranium has its advantages and can work their way back to three digits in 24-36 months. "
Perhaps that base metals can do better Grandich suggests that, without a doubt the sector remains weak, but a measure of the enormous drop in stock prices, which in many cases higher than those of their own products, could make room for investment gains this year.
About the Author
http://www.cnmining.org/news/?id=993
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